← Ligue 2 2023 · Tue, Dec 5, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Bastia win | 27% | 3.79 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Bastia −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.51 |
| Over | 36% | 2.67 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Yllan Okou · Bastia |
| 13' | ⚽ | Migouel Alfarela · Bastia |
| 35' | 🟨 | Yohan Bilingi · Dunkerque |
| 45' | 🟨 | Florian Bohnert · Bastia |
| 59' | 🟨 | Achraf Laaziri · Dunkerque |
| 68' | ⚽ | Migouel Alfarela · Bastia |
| 76' | 🟨 | Opa Sangante · Dunkerque |
| 89' | ⚽ (pen) | Felix Tomi · Bastia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Migouel Alfarela · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
| 2 | On target | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.37 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Tribut |
| coach days | 95.00 | 795.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 2.88 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1315.31 | 1477.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.58 | -1.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | -0.42 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.80 | 50.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.73 |
| league points | 14.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 3.07 | 3.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 0.78 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 9.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.42 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.51 | 25.73 |
| state index | -0.60 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |