← Ligue 2 2023 · Tue, Dec 5, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Souifi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 56% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.05 |
| Concarneau win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre +0.75 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Concarneau +0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Perrin · AJ Auxerre |
| 38' | ⚽ | Jubal · AJ Auxerre |
| 55' | 🟨 | Lassine Sinayoko · AJ Auxerre |
| 73' | 🟨 | Clement Akpa · AJ Auxerre |
| 87' | 🟨 | Tom Lebeau · Concarneau |
| 89' | ⚽ | Baptiste Mouazan · Concarneau |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 16 |
| 4 | On target | 7 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Concarneau | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Francis-Le Blé |
| coach days | 1374.00 | 430.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 3.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1483.59 | 1624.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.25 | 7.43 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | 0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.50 | 64.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.69 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.76 |
| league points | 23.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.60 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.40 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 3.07 | 3.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.94 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 7.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 17.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.48 | 1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 27.55 | 27.06 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.58 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.66 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |