← Ligue 2 2023 · Tue, Dec 5, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Kherradji
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| Valenciennes win | 27% | 3.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Valenciennes −0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.65 |
| Over | 41% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Moussa Sylla · Pau FC |
| 48' | ⚽ | Nick Venema · Valenciennes |
| 72' | ⚽ | Mons Bassouamina · Pau FC |
| 90' | ⚽ | Moussa Sylla · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 22 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 1252.00 | 4.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.04 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1481.47 | 1401.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.13 | -17.71 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.30 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.30 | 61.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.74 |
| league points | 27.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 3.07 | 3.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 0.72 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.75 | 25.29 |
| state index | 0.15 | -1.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |