← Ligue 2 2023 · Tue, Dec 5, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 35% | 2.70 |
| Ajaccio win | 34% | 2.91 |
| Laval win | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio +0 | 52% | 1.85 |
| Laval +0 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 74% | 1.29 |
| Over | 26% | 3.72 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Francois-Joseph Sollacaro · Ajaccio |
| 60' | ⚽ | Yoann Touzghar · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mamadou Samassa · Laval |
| 90' | 🟨 | Thibault Vargas · Laval |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Riad Nouri · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Laval |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.55 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 1252.00 | 1618.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.01 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1521.03 | 1493.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.79 | 4.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.70 | 64.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.70 |
| league points | 30.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 3.07 | 3.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.96 | 28.93 |
| state index | 0.39 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.33 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |