← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Dec 2, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: N. Rainville
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 45% | 2.13 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.26 |
| Paris FC win | 26% | 3.89 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.25 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Paris FC −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.68 |
| Over | 42% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Donatien Gomis · Guingamp |
| 38' | 🟨 | Amine El Ouazzani · Guingamp |
| 43' | 🟨 | Jules Gaudin · Paris FC |
| 69' | 🟨 | Dylan Louiserre · Guingamp |
| 70' | ⚽ (pen) | Ilan Kebbal · Paris FC |
| 84' | 🟨 | Obed Nkambadio · Paris FC |
| 85' | 🟨 | Cyril Mandouki · Paris FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 945.00 | 184.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1541.65 | 1480.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.58 | 11.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.93 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.46 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 62.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 28.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.60 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | -1.13 | 0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.81 | 24.93 |
| state index | 0.49 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.64 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |