← Ligue 2 2023 · Tue, Nov 28, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Concarneau win | 41% | 2.37 |
| Pau FC win | 31% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.47 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Concarneau −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Axel Urie · Concarneau |
| 23' | 🟨 | Xavier Kouassi · Pau FC |
| 30' | ⚽ (og) | Guillaume Jannez · Pau FC |
| 46' | ⚽ | Mons Bassouamina · Pau FC |
| 55' | 🟨 | Alexandre Philiponeau · Concarneau |
| 58' | 🟨 | Abdelwahed Wahib · Concarneau |
| 61' | 🟨 | Sessi D'Almeida · Pau FC |
| 62' | ⚽ | Yanis Merdji · Concarneau |
| 88' | 🟨 | Alexandre Philiponeau · Concarneau |
| 88' | 🟥 | Alexandre Philiponeau · Concarneau |
| 89' | 🟥 | Khalid Boutaïb · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 17 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Concarneau | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 1367.00 | 1245.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1510.14 | 1474.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.40 | 15.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.24 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 68.20 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| league points | 23.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.00 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.53 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.14 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.10 | 28.89 |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.05 | 0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |