← Ligue 2 2023 · Mon, Nov 27, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Taleb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Angers SCO win | 51% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Caen win | 22% | 4.76 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Angers SCO −0.5 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Caen −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Ali Abdi · Caen |
| 29' | ⚽ | Loïs Diony · Angers SCO |
| 47' | 🟨 | Hianga'a M'Bock · Caen |
| 72' | 🟨 | Cédric Hountondji · Angers SCO |
| 74' | 🟨 | Syam Ben Youssef · Caen |
| 75' | 🟨 | Syam Ben Youssef · Caen |
| 75' | 🟥 | Syam Ben Youssef · Caen |
| 78' | 🟨 | Valentin Henry · Caen |
| 87' | ⚽ | Pierrick Capelle · Angers SCO |
| 90' | ⚽ | Jean-Mattéo Bahoya · Angers SCO |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Angers SCO | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.49 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Raymond-Kopa |
| coach days | 271.00 | 26.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 5.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.37 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1541.18 | 1481.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.64 | -23.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.47 | -0.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.62 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 51.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.62 |
| league points | 30.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 79.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 16.07 | 16.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.80 | 0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.96 | 29.02 |
| state index | 0.61 | -0.91 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.70 | -0.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.40 |