← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Nov 25, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 58% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.05 |
| Pau FC win | 19% | 5.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne −0.75 | 53% | 1.80 |
| Pau FC −0.75 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 54% | 1.78 |
| Under | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Charbonnier · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 14' | 🟨 | Ousmane Kanté · Pau FC |
| 54' | 🟨 | Benjamin Bouchouari · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 62' | 🟨 | Moussa Sylla · Pau FC |
| 75' | ⚽ (pen) | Henri Saivet · Pau FC |
| 78' | ⚽ | Sessi D'Almeida · Pau FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Anthony Briançon · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 90' | 🟨 | Florian Tardieu · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sessi D'Almeida · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 19 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Saint-Étienne | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Geoffroy-Guichard |
| coach days | 512.00 | 1242.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.91 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.23 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1574.40 | 1460.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.11 | 0.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -0.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.64 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.20 | 52.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.41 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| league points | 30.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 13.83 | 13.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.43 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | -0.22 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.05 | 28.13 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |