← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Nov 11, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Laval win | 53% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.53 |
| Concarneau win | 20% | 5.28 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Concarneau −0.75 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Laval −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Baptiste Mouazan · Concarneau |
| 42' | 🟥 | Remy Labeau Lascary · Laval |
| 43' | 🟨 | Jimmy Roye · Laval |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sam Sanna · Laval |
| 48' | 🟨 | Gabriel Bares · Concarneau |
| 53' | ⚽ (og) | Peter Ouaneh · Concarneau |
| 62' | 🟨 | Edson Seidou · Laval |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marvin Baudry · Laval |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Tom Lebeau · Concarneau |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 6 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 26 | Fouls | 9 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Laval | Concarneau |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Francis Le Basser |
| coach days | 1594.00 | 1350.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1506.23 | 1489.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.73 | 7.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | 0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 67.00 | 65.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.90 | 0.74 |
| league points | 30.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.20 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 14.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.36 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.66 | 0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.67 | 27.38 |
| state index | 0.51 | 0.04 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |