← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Nov 11, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Lepaysant
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 54% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 22% | 4.41 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne −0.75 | 51% | 1.89 |
| AJ Auxerre −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.64 |
| Under | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Ado Onaiwu · AJ Auxerre |
| 21' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Perrin · AJ Auxerre |
| 31' | ⚽ | Mathieu Cafaro · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 36' | ⚽ | Ado Onaiwu · AJ Auxerre |
| 45' | 🟨 | Assane Dioussé · AJ Auxerre |
| 45' | 🟨 | Benjamin Bouchouari · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 62' | 🟨 | Florian Tardieu · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 66' | ⚽ | Ado Onaiwu · AJ Auxerre |
| 80' | ⚽ | Mahmoud Bentayg · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 82' | ⚽ | Lassine Sinayoko · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 8 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | AS Saint-Étienne |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps |
| 1.20 |
| coach days | 406.00 | 498.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.77 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.01 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1605.68 | 1588.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.96 | 4.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.49 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | 0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.70 | 64.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.59 |
| league points | 25.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.40 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 4.93 | 7.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.45 | 0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.36 | 26.58 |
| state index | 0.23 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.91 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |