← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Nov 11, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Delpech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 40% | 2.42 |
| Dunkerque win | 30% | 3.37 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Valenciennes −0.25 | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Billy Koumetio · Dunkerque |
| 40' | 🟨 | David Kruse · Valenciennes |
| 45' | 🟨 | Hugo Gambor · Dunkerque |
| 57' | 🟨 | Allan Linguet · Valenciennes |
| 57' | 🟨 | Enzo Bardeli · Dunkerque |
| 67' | 🟨 | Sacha Banse · Valenciennes |
| 81' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 88' | ⚽ | Enzo Bardeli · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 22 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.51 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 41.00 | 71.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1411.20 | 1305.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.68 | -9.73 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.80 | 60.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| league points | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.02 | 26.62 |
| state index | -0.89 | -0.85 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |