← Ligue 2 2023 · Mon, Nov 6, 07:45 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 41% | 2.36 |
| Guingamp win | 30% | 3.34 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.22 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp +0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| AJ Auxerre +0.25 | 48% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Ousmane Camara · AJ Auxerre |
| 46' | 🟨 | Donatien Gomis · Guingamp |
| 51' | ⚽ (og) | Théo Pellenard · Guingamp |
| 70' | 🟨 | Baptiste Guillaume · Guingamp |
| 71' | 🟨 | Amadou Sagna · Guingamp |
| 72' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Perrin · AJ Auxerre |
| 73' | 🟨 | Maxime Sivis · Guingamp |
| 77' | 🟨 | Kalidou Sidibe · Guingamp |
| 78' | 🟨 | Saad Agouzoul · AJ Auxerre |
| 80' | ⚽ | Amine El Ouazzani · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gaëtan Courtet · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟥 | Maxime Sivis · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Théo Pellenard · AJ Auxerre |
| 90' | 🟥 | Rayan Raveloson · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 14 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 919.00 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| 401.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 4.65 |
| elo | 1495.76 | 1567.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.48 | 11.17 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | 0.58 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.41 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 17.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.80 | 61.40 |
| rest days | 9.11 | 9.11 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.83 |
| skill v1 | -1.29 | 1.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| squad age | — | 26.48 |
| state index | -0.02 | 0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.86 | 1.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |