← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Nov 4, 06:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Vernice
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux win | 46% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Bastia win | 26% | 3.79 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia +0.5 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Bordeaux +0.5 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | ⚽ | Benjamin Santelli · Bastia |
| 18' | ⚽ | Florian Bohnert · Bastia |
| 61' | 🟨 | Yoann Barbet · Bordeaux |
| 68' | ⚽ | Benjamin Santelli · Bastia |
| 78' | ⚽ | Jérémy Livolant · Bordeaux |
| 80' | 🟨 | Christophe Vincent · Bastia |
| 83' | 🟨 | Tom Ducrocq · Bastia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kapitbafan Djoco · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 21 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Bordeaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 764.00 | 34.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 1.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1478.10 | 1522.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.78 | -46.57 |
| eye test v1 | -1.60 | 0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.30 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| league points | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.80 | 86.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.80 | 64.60 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 7.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -7.60 | 7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.82 | 1.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.52 | 26.29 |
| state index | -0.61 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.36 | 1.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.12 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |