β Ligue 2 2023 Β· Sat, Nov 4, 06:00 PM UTC Β· ref: T. Bouille
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Angers SCO win | 58% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.78 |
| Valenciennes win | 16% | 6.05 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Angers SCO β0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Valenciennes β0.75 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | β½ | Farid El Melali Β· Angers SCO |
| 16' | π¨ | Jean Louchet Β· Valenciennes |
| 29' | β½ (og) | Jonathan Buatu Β· Angers SCO |
| 33' | π¨ | Jordan Lefort Β· Angers SCO |
| 43' | π¨ | Yan Valery Β· Angers SCO |
| 45' | π¨ | Zinedine Ferhat Β· Angers SCO |
| 45' | π¨ | Farid El Melali Β· Angers SCO |
| 45' | π¨ | Jordan Poha Β· Valenciennes |
| 90' | π¨ | Pierrick Capelle Β· Angers SCO |
| 90' | π¨ | Ugo Bonnet Β· Valenciennes |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 5 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 8 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Angers SCO | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.49 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Raymond-Kopa |
| coach days | 248.00 | 34.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.43 | 1.93 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1533.78 | 1419.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.92 | 1.12 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.59 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 58.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.76 |
| league points | 26.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.20 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 4.93 | 7.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.77 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | 0.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 28.53 | 24.90 |
| state index | 0.64 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |