← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Oct 28, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Taleb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 71% | 1.36 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.50 |
| Dunkerque win | 11% | 9.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque −1.5 | 53% | 1.88 |
| AJ Auxerre −1.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under | 39% | 2.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Billy Koumetio · Dunkerque |
| 78' | 🟨 | Théo Pellenard · AJ Auxerre |
| 78' | 🟨 | Enzo Bardeli · Dunkerque |
| 88' | 🟨 | Remy Boissier · Dunkerque |
| 90' | ⚽ | Remy Boissier · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 24 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 2 |
| 12 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.75 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps |
| coach days | 392.00 | 57.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.90 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1635.29 | 1295.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.84 | -39.01 |
| eye test v1 | 0.50 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.60 |
| league points | 25.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 7.17 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 2.08 | 0.54 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.34 | 0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.88 | 27.66 |
| state index | 0.94 | -1.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.87 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |