← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Oct 28, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Abed
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 36% | 2.74 |
| Valenciennes win | 34% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Valenciennes +0 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Makabi Lilepo · Valenciennes |
| 29' | ⚽ | Ilyes Hamache · Valenciennes |
| 53' | 🟨 | Quentin Daubin · Caen |
| 61' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Ntim · Caen |
| 87' | ⚽ | Mickaël Le Bihan · Caen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ali Abdi · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 14 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 27.00 | 149.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 2.27 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1418.47 | 1505.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.15 | -34.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | -1.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.49 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.80 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| league points | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.46 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 24.36 | 28.64 |
| state index | -0.76 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |