← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Oct 21, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Leleu
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 36% | 2.71 |
| Paris FC win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.26 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Paris FC +0 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Mohamed Lamine Diaby · Paris FC |
| 46' | 🟨 | Remy Boissier · Dunkerque |
| 64' | ⚽ | Sofiane Alakouch · Paris FC |
| 72' | ⚽ | Armand Gnanduillet · Dunkerque |
| 77' | ⚽ | Pierre-Yves Hamel · Paris FC |
| 84' | 🟨 | Tidiane Keita · Dunkerque |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Tribut |
| coach days | 50.00 | 142.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 2.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1306.90 | 1457.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.89 | -15.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.68 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.30 | 57.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | — |
| league points | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 79.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.58 | 0.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.60 | 2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.90 | 25.53 |
| state index | -1.57 | -0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.49 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |