← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Oct 21, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Kherradji
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez win | 51% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Bastia win | 23% | 4.55 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Bastia −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Facinet Conte · Bastia |
| 55' | 🟨 | Tom Ducrocq · Bastia |
| 67' | ⚽ | Clément Depres · Rodez |
| 73' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Rajot · Rodez |
| 74' | 🟨 | Johny Placide · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 26 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 10 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon |
| coach days | 324.00 | 750.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1504.77 | 1476.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.38 | -68.48 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | -1.06 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.20 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.59 |
| league points | 20.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.62 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 24.45 | 25.82 |
| state index | 0.48 | -1.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.33 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |