← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Oct 21, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| Pau FC win | 19% | 5.21 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Pau FC −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 52' | ⚽ | Yoann Touzghar · Ajaccio |
| 63' | ⚽ | Thomas Mangani · Ajaccio |
| 68' | 🟨 | Xavier Kouassi · Pau FC |
| 75' | 🟨 | Mehdi Chahiri · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 1 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 1207.00 | 1207.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1499.56 | 1460.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.19 | 12.71 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | 0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.32 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 45.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.72 |
| league points | 17.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.45 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | -0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 31.80 | 27.14 |
| state index | 0.16 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.88 | 0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |