← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Oct 7, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Buquet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.31 |
| Annecy win | 27% | 3.60 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Annecy −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Ahmed Kashi · Annecy |
| 17' | 🟨 | Michel Diaz · Annecy |
| 59' | ⚽ | Dimitri Liénard · Bastia |
| 70' | ⚽ | Facinet Conte · Bastia |
| 78' | 🟨 | Cheick Keita · Bastia |
| 79' | 🟨 | Martin Adeline · Annecy |
| 86' | 🟨 | Felix Tomi · Bastia |
| 89' | ⚽ | Vincent Pajot · Annecy |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dimitri Liénard · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 6 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 7 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Annecy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 736.00 | 889.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.33 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1468.45 | 1462.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -76.85 | 11.70 |
| eye test v1 | -1.08 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 51.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | — |
| league points | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 74.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 41.20 |
| rest days | 4.93 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.80 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | -0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.84 | 26.06 |
| state index | -1.27 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |