← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Oct 7, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Delpech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez win | 38% | 2.58 |
| Caen win | 33% | 3.01 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez +0 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Caen +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Rajot · Rodez |
| 13' | ⚽ | Tairyk Arconte · Rodez |
| 23' | 🟨 | Abdel Hakim Abdallah · Rodez |
| 42' | 🟨 | Giovanni Haag · Rodez |
| 42' | ⚽ | Romain Thomas · Caen |
| 45' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 45' | ⚽ | Mickaël Le Bihan · Caen |
| 62' | 🟨 | Yoann Court · Caen |
| 71' | ⚽ | Tairyk Arconte · Rodez |
| 75' | 🟨 | Valentin Henry · Caen |
| 76' | ⚽ | Tairyk Arconte · Rodez |
| 84' | 🟨 | Tairyk Arconte · Rodez |
| 90' | 🟨 | Emmanuel Ntim · Caen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Wilitty Younoussa · Rodez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 3 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rodez | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Paul Lignon |
| coach days | 310.00 | 128.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1491.26 | 1516.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.87 | -47.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.36 | -1.04 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.02 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 52.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.73 |
| league points | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.01 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | 0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 24.78 | 28.03 |
| state index | 0.35 | -0.76 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.25 | 0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |