← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Oct 7, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Taleb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 42% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Grenoble win | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Grenoble −0.25 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Guingamp −0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Amadou Sagna · Guingamp |
| 23' | ⚽ | Jessy Benet · Grenoble |
| 45' | ⚽ | Mehdi Merghem · Guingamp |
| 60' | 🟨 | Abdoulie Sanyang · Grenoble |
| 72' | ⚽ (og) | Maxime Sivis · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 6 |
| 8 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.53 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 889.00 | 675.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.16 | 4.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1516.61 | 1516.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.30 | 39.49 |
| eye test v1 | 0.18 | 0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 63.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.58 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.89 |
| league points | 14.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 2.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.54 | 0.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.51 | 26.58 |
| state index | 0.06 | 0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |