← Ligue 2 2023 · Wed, Oct 4, 04:45 PM UTC · ref: F. Batta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 60% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.19 |
| Dunkerque win | 17% | 5.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque −1 | 53% | 1.85 |
| AS Saint-Étienne −1 | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 56% | 1.70 |
| Under | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 38' | 🟨 | Benjamin Bouchouari · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 53' | 🟨 | Yohan Bilingi · Dunkerque |
| 81' | 🟨 | Arnaud Balijon · Dunkerque |
| 81' | 🟨 | Remy Boissier · Dunkerque |
| 83' | ⚽ (pen) | Ibrahim Sissoko · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 86' | ⚽ | Mathieu Cafaro · AS Saint-Étienne |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Saint-Étienne | Dunkerque |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Geoffroy-Guichard |
| 1.00 |
| coach days | 460.00 | 33.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1583.58 | 1315.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.21 | -19.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | 0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.36 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.70 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.68 |
| league points | 20.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 4.16 | 3.99 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.94 | 0.33 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.37 | 28.36 |
| state index | 0.59 | -1.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.63 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |