← Ligue 2 2023 · Mon, Oct 2, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: N. Rainville
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 41% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.88 |
| Bastia win | 26% | 3.91 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia −0.25 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.40 |
| Over | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | 🟥 | Dylan Tavares · Bastia |
| 59' | ⚽ | Yacine Bammou · Ajaccio |
| 77' | 🟨 | Anthony Roncaglia · Bastia |
| 89' | ⚽ | Mickaël Barreto · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 7 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 1188.00 | 731.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1483.10 | 1480.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.13 | -56.72 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | -0.49 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 59.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| league points | 13.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.70 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 31.58 | 26.83 |
| state index | -0.43 | -1.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.71 | 0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |