← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Sep 30, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Lesage
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC win | 36% | 2.72 |
| Annecy win | 34% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Paris FC +0 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Annecy +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Vincent Pajot · Annecy |
| 45' | 🟨 | Kevin Mouanga · Annecy |
| 45' | 🟨 | Sofiane Alakouch · Paris FC |
| 46' | ⚽ | Samuel Ntamack Ndimba · Annecy |
| 51' | ⚽ | Josias Lukembila · Paris FC |
| 56' | 🟨 | Josias Lukembila · Paris FC |
| 62' | ⚽ | Alimami Gory · Paris FC |
| 64' | 🟨 | Antoine Larose · Annecy |
| 86' | 🟨 | Yacouba Barry · Annecy |
| 90' | 🟨 | Vincent Pajot · Annecy |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 7 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Annecy | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.79 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| venue | Parc des Sports |
| coach days | 882.00 | 121.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.97 | 2.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1463.69 | 1466.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.41 | -4.55 |
| eye test v1 | -0.20 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.54 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.70 | 53.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.65 |
| league points | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 3.93 | 3.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.77 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 26.40 | 25.72 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.06 | 0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |