← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Sep 30, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Valnet
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.23 |
| Pau FC win | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC +0.25 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Amiens +0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ (pen) | Henri Saivet · Pau FC |
| 60' | 🟨 | Jean Ruiz · Pau FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sessi D'Almeida · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.47 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 1186.00 | 91.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.94 | 3.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1451.31 | 1453.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.21 | -8.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.39 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 41.70 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.00 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.73 |
| league points | 11.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 3.93 | 3.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.00 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.79 | 27.42 |
| state index | -0.35 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |