← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Sep 30, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 60% | 1.61 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.24 |
| Rodez win | 17% | 5.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez −1 | 52% | 1.88 |
| AJ Auxerre −1 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 57% | 1.69 |
| Under | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Killian Corredor · Rodez |
| 33' | ⚽ | Gauthier Hein · AJ Auxerre |
| 51' | 🟨 | Wilitty Younoussa · Rodez |
| 55' | 🟨 | Gideon Mensah · AJ Auxerre |
| 70' | 🟨 | Giovanni Haag · Rodez |
| 72' | ⚽ | Gaëtan Perrin · AJ Auxerre |
| 90' | ⚽ | Killian Corredor · Rodez |
| 90' | ⚽ | Rayan Raveloson · AJ Auxerre |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps |
| coach days | 364.00 | 303.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.55 | 3.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1618.64 | 1499.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.21 | 45.15 |
| eye test v1 | 0.55 | 1.00 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.26 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.71 |
| league points | 18.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.40 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.00 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 3.93 | 3.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.07 | -0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 27.35 | 24.78 |
| state index | 0.83 | 0.55 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | -0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |