← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Sep 30, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Bouille
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux win | 36% | 2.69 |
| Grenoble win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Grenoble +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Virgiliu Postolachi · Grenoble |
| 42' | 🟨 | Clément Michelin · Bordeaux |
| 49' | 🟨 | Jessy Benet · Grenoble |
| 58' | 🟨 | Mathys Tourraine · Grenoble |
| 60' | 🟨 | Jacques Ekomié · Bordeaux |
| 90' | ⚽ | Saikou Touray · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Bordeaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade des Alpes |
| coach days | 668.00 | 606.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.52 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1500.86 | 1568.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.41 | -1.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.10 | 0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 66.10 | 61.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.86 | 0.67 |
| league points | 20.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.40 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 57.80 |
| rest days | 3.93 | 3.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.53 | 1.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.66 | 25.31 |
| state index | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | 0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |