← Ligue 2 2023 · Tue, Sep 26, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: K. Abed
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Pau FC win | 20% | 4.79 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC −0.75 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Bastia −0.75 | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.84 |
| Over | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | ⚽ | Henri Saivet · Pau FC |
| 39' | 🟥 | Benjamin Santelli · Bastia |
| 40' | 🟨 | Therence Koudou · Pau FC |
| 48' | 🟨 | Anthony Roncaglia · Bastia |
| 54' | ⚽ | Mons Bassouamina · Pau FC |
| 62' | ⚽ | Facinet Conte · Bastia |
| 79' | ⚽ | Henri Saivet · Pau FC |
| 80' | 🟨 | Jean Ruiz · Pau FC |
| 82' | ⚽ | Yonis Njoh · Pau FC |
| 85' | 🟨 | Julien Maggiotti · Bastia |
| 85' | 🟨 | Yonis Njoh · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 10 |
| 10 | Corners | 3 |
| 7 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 725.00 | 1182.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.64 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1504.88 | 1427.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.93 | -15.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.34 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 37.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.58 | 0.70 |
| league points | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 3.07 | 3.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -7.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.33 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.73 | 27.33 |
| state index | -0.34 | -0.80 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.15 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |