← Ligue 2 2023 · Tue, Sep 26, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: A. Kherradji
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes win | 42% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Concarneau win | 29% | 3.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valenciennes −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Concarneau −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Andrew Jung · Valenciennes |
| 29' | 🟨 | Taylor Moore · Valenciennes |
| 31' | ⚽ (pen) | Maxime Etuin · Concarneau |
| 51' | 🟨 | Sacha Banse · Valenciennes |
| 59' | 🟨 | Maxime Etuin · Concarneau |
| 61' | 🟨 | Julien Celestine · Concarneau |
| 70' | 🟨 | Esteban Salles · Concarneau |
| 79' | 🟨 | Gabriel Bares · Concarneau |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 22 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Concarneau |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 178.00 | 1304.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.75 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1428.62 | 1471.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.07 | -5.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.46 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 60.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.66 |
| league points | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 84.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 3.07 | 3.07 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.09 | 0.87 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.71 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.34 | 27.08 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.40 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 0.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | — |