← Ligue 2 2023 · Tue, Sep 26, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: N. Rainville
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 51% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| Grenoble win | 22% | 4.67 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Grenoble −0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Ali Abdi · Caen |
| 24' | 🟨 | Arial Mendy · Grenoble |
| 46' | ⚽ | Pape Meissa Ba · Grenoble |
| 49' | ⚽ | Pape Meissa Ba · Grenoble |
| 56' | 🟨 | Saikou Touray · Grenoble |
| 73' | 🟨 | Virgiliu Postolachi · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 117.00 | 664.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 4.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1539.39 | 1487.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.08 | 15.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | 0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.04 | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.00 | 66.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | — |
| league points | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.00 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 10.24 | 3.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | — |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.89 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | 0.54 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 28.11 | 27.11 |
| state index | 0.48 | 0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |