← Ligue 2 2023 · Tue, Sep 26, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens win | 41% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Ajaccio win | 28% | 3.57 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Amiens −0.25 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.52 |
| Over | 37% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 35' | 🟨 | Maxime Chanot · Ajaccio |
| 55' | 🟨 | Tim Jabol-Folcarelli · Ajaccio |
| 57' | 🟨 | Louis Mafouta · Amiens |
| 60' | 🟨 | Thomas Mangani · Ajaccio |
| 65' | 🟨 | Valentin Jacob · Ajaccio |
| 68' | 🟨 | Julien Benhaim · Ajaccio |
| 85' | 🟨 | Mamadou Fofana · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 6 |
| 0 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 27 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amiens | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne |
| coach days | 87.00 | 1182.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.48 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1454.63 | 1482.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.19 | -22.92 |
| eye test v1 | 0.13 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 50.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | — |
| league points | 16.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 3.07 | 3.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | 0.04 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 27.66 | 31.88 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.50 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |