← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Sep 23, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Legat
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 40% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.11 |
| Rodez win | 29% | 3.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Dunkerque −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | ⚽ (og) | Demba Thiam · Rodez |
| 39' | 🟨 | Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao · Rodez |
| 44' | 🟨 | Hugo Gambor · Dunkerque |
| 55' | ⚽ | Yohan Bilingi · Dunkerque |
| 67' | ⚽ | Andreas Hountondji · Rodez |
| 79' | 🟨 | Lionel Mpasi Nzau · Rodez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.51 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.63 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.76 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Tribut |
| coach days | 22.00 | 296.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1342.79 | 1471.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.51 |
| eye test v1 | 0.32 | 0.66 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.47 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.40 | 61.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.72 |
| league points | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 15.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.15 | 0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 28.91 | 25.01 |
| state index | -0.81 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.41 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |