← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Sep 23, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Lepaysant
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Annecy win | 35% | 2.91 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC +0 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Annecy +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Sessi D'Almeida · Pau FC |
| 19' | 🟨 | Antoine Batisse · Pau FC |
| 37' | 🟨 | Martin Adeline · Annecy |
| 44' | ⚽ | Antoine Larose · Annecy |
| 45' | ⚽ | Warren Caddy · Annecy |
| 58' | 🟨 | Therence Koudou · Pau FC |
| 59' | ⚽ | Kevin Mouanga · Annecy |
| 79' | 🟨 | Jean Ruiz · Pau FC |
| 81' | 🟨 | Mehdi Chahiri · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 16 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Annecy |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.46 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 1179.00 | 875.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 3.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1447.46 | 1452.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.23 | 16.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 39.80 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.74 |
| league points | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 39.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -11.20 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | -0.79 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.14 | 25.53 |
| state index | -0.50 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | -1.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |