← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Sep 23, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: T. Bouille
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Laval win | 40% | 2.39 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Guingamp win | 29% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Laval −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟨 | Baptiste Roux · Guingamp |
| 50' | ⚽ | Baptiste Guillaume · Guingamp |
| 52' | 🟨 | Baptiste Guillaume · Guingamp |
| 62' | ⚽ | Pape Djibril Diaw · Laval |
| 68' | 🟨 | Malik Tchokounte · Laval |
| 89' | ⚽ | Malik Tchokounte · Laval |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Laval | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade Francis Le Basser |
| coach days | 1545.00 | 875.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 2.01 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1456.51 | 1514.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 52.17 | -7.65 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | 0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.53 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.83 |
| league points | 14.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.93 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 13.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.10 | -0.18 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 29.55 | 26.21 |
| state index | 0.75 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |