← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Sep 23, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Gaillouste
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio win | 45% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Paris FC win | 25% | 3.99 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 53% | 1.81 |
| Paris FC −0.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | 🟨 | Samir Sophian Chergui · Paris FC |
| 37' | 🟨 | Lohann Doucet · Paris FC |
| 56' | ⚽ | Tim Jabol-Folcarelli · Ajaccio |
| 58' | ⚽ | Pierre-Yves Hamel · Paris FC |
| 60' | 🟨 | Thomas Mangani · Ajaccio |
| 67' | ⚽ | Yacine Bammou · Ajaccio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Vincent Marchetti · Ajaccio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 6 |
| 4 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 1179.00 | 114.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 1.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1473.49 | 1487.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.68 | -12.42 |
| eye test v1 | -0.54 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.61 | 0.67 |
| league points | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.60 | 86.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 4.93 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.25 | 1.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 29.95 | 25.58 |
| state index | -0.65 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | 1.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |