← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Sep 23, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens win | 53% | 1.81 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.53 |
| Valenciennes win | 20% | 4.98 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens −0.5 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Valenciennes −0.5 | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Jonathan Buatu · Valenciennes |
| 26' | 🟨 | Andrew Jung · Valenciennes |
| 32' | 🟨 | Ilyes Hamache · Valenciennes |
| 65' | 🟨 | Gaël Kakuta · Amiens |
| 80' | 🟨 | Andy Carroll · Amiens |
| 84' | 🟨 | Frank Boya · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 21 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amiens | Valenciennes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne |
| coach days | 84.00 | 175.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.48 | 1.85 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1457.20 | 1426.05 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.40 | 0.64 |
| eye test v1 | -0.22 | -0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.67 |
| league points | 15.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | — |
| season ppg | 2.14 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 27.50 | 25.58 |
| state index | 0.11 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.72 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |