← Ligue 2 2023 · Mon, Sep 18, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: K. Abed
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Ajaccio win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Ajaccio −0.25 | 47% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 64% | 1.52 |
| Over | 36% | 2.64 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Amine El Ouazzani · Guingamp |
| 10' | 🟨 | Julien Benhaim · Ajaccio |
| 32' | ⚽ | Amine El Ouazzani · Guingamp |
| 78' | ⚽ | Baptiste Guillaume · Guingamp |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 870.00 | 1174.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 1.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1500.21 | 1487.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.63 | 2.74 |
| eye test v1 | 0.56 | -0.31 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.60 | 50.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.65 |
| league points | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 16.07 | 16.07 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | — |
| season ppg | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 2.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.36 | 26.58 |
| state index | 0.22 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |