← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Sep 16, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: O. Thual
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bastia win | 40% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Laval win | 29% | 3.36 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Laval −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Bastia −0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.61 |
| Over | 40% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Romaric Yapi · Bastia |
| 27' | ⚽ | Jimmy Roye · Laval |
| 44' | 🟨 | Junior Kadile · Laval |
| 50' | 🟨 | Sam Sanna · Laval |
| 52' | ⚽ (og) | Issiar Drame · Laval |
| 55' | ⚽ | Marvin Baudry · Laval |
| 79' | 🟨 | Julien Maggiotti · Bastia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bastia | Laval |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Armand-Césari |
| coach days | 715.00 | 1538.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1545.04 | 1430.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.36 | 17.93 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | -0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.58 |
| league points | 11.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 46.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | — |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | -0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.78 | 29.56 |
| state index | 0.51 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.25 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |