← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Sep 16, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Souifi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Grenoble win | 35% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque +0 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Grenoble +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | 🟨 | Billy Koumetio · Dunkerque |
| 48' | 🟨 | Arial Mendy · Grenoble |
| 52' | 🟨 | Billy Koumetio · Dunkerque |
| 52' | 🟥 | Billy Koumetio · Dunkerque |
| 70' | 🟨 | Adrien Monfray · Grenoble |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 18 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 6 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dunkerque | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stade Marcel-Tribut |
| coach days | 15.00 | 654.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 8.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 4.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1340.63 | 1476.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.94 | 21.07 |
| eye test v1 | 0.43 | 0.70 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.10 | 65.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.83 |
| league points | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 82.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 47.40 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.60 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 28.21 | 26.41 |
| state index | -0.73 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |