← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Sep 16, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Taleb
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens win | 36% | 2.78 |
| Paris FC win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Paris FC +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Josias Lukembila · Paris FC |
| 24' | 🟨 | Abdoul Tapsoba · Amiens |
| 37' | 🟨 | Mohamed Touré · Paris FC |
| 43' | ⚽ (pen) | Mohamed Touré · Paris FC |
| 51' | 🟨 | Ilan Kebbal · Paris FC |
| 62' | ⚽ | Alimami Gory · Paris FC |
| 75' | 🟨 | Kylian Kaiboue · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Paris FC | Amiens |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade de l'Aube |
| coach days | 107.00 | 77.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 3.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1473.17 | 1471.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -44.82 | 44.52 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.37 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.70 | 58.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | — |
| league points | 3.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 88.00 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 43.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 0.60 | 2.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.13 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.79 | 27.72 |
| state index | -0.57 | 0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.28 | -0.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |