← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Sep 16, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux win | 45% | 2.16 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.27 |
| Valenciennes win | 26% | 3.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux +0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Valenciennes +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.19 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | ⚽ | Alberth Elis · Bordeaux |
| 43' | 🟨 | Stian Gregersen · Bordeaux |
| 46' | 🟨 | Alberth Elis · Bordeaux |
| 59' | 🟨 | Julien Masson · Valenciennes |
| 63' | ⚽ | David Kruse · Valenciennes |
| 69' | 🟨 | Anthony Knockaert · Valenciennes |
| 85' | 🟨 | Sacha Banse · Valenciennes |
| 88' | ⚽ | Alexi Pitu · Bordeaux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 7 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valenciennes | Bordeaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stade du Hainaut |
| coach days | 168.00 | 592.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.06 | 2.16 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1434.16 | 1560.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.49 | -25.21 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | 1.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.53 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.64 |
| league points | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 85.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.17 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | 6.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 16.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | 1.38 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 25.10 | 25.48 |
| state index | -0.53 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |