← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Sep 16, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Kherradji
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 47% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.60 |
| AS Saint-Étienne win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AS Saint-Étienne −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Caen −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.93 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ (pen) | Florian Tardieu · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 35' | 🟨 | Valentin Henry · Caen |
| 67' | 🟨 | Ali Abdi · Caen |
| 76' | 🟨 | Anthony Mandrea · Caen |
| 76' | 🟨 | Lamine Fomba · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 88' | ⚽ | Ibrahim Sissoko · AS Saint-Étienne |
| 90' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | AS Saint-Étienne |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 107.00 | 442.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.22 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1551.39 | 1540.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.05 | -5.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.77 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.70 | 61.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.73 |
| league points | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.80 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 13.83 | 13.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | — |
| season ppg | 2.40 | 1.33 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.80 | 0.98 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.67 | 26.75 |
| state index | 0.89 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | 0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |