← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Sep 2, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Bollengier
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez win | 36% | 2.68 |
| Pau FC win | 33% | 2.97 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rodez +0 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Pau FC +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Moussa Sylla · Pau FC |
| 29' | ⚽ | Moussa Sylla · Pau FC |
| 37' | 🟨 | Jean Ruiz · Pau FC |
| 45' | ⚽ | Moussa Sylla · Pau FC |
| 55' | 🟨 | Giovanni Haag · Rodez |
| 63' | ⚽ | Giovanni Haag · Rodez |
| 75' | 🟨 | Bradley Danger · Rodez |
| 90' | 🟨 | Antoine Batisse · Pau FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Johann Obiang · Pau FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Clément Depres · Rodez |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Bradley Danger · Rodez |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Rodez |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 1158.00 | 275.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1443.43 | 1453.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.16 | 4.87 |
| eye test v1 | -0.09 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.39 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.80 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.77 |
| league points | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.40 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | — |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.60 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.42 | 0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.22 | 24.60 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.34 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |