← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Sep 2, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 41% | 2.42 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.19 |
| Laval win | 29% | 3.27 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Laval +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Caen +0.25 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟨 | Quentin Daubin · Caen |
| 55' | 🟨 | Junior Kadile · Laval |
| 61' | 🟨 | Anthony Mandrea · Caen |
| 77' | ⚽ | Ali Abdi · Caen |
| 78' | 🟨 | Thibault Vargas · Laval |
| 88' | 🟨 | Loïs Martins · Laval |
| 90' | 🟨 | Valentin Henry · Caen |
| 90' | ⚽ | Thibault Vargas · Laval |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Malik Tchokounte · Laval |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Laval | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade Francis Le Basser |
| coach days | 1524.00 | 93.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 1.95 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.02 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1418.50 | 1563.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.25 | 44.28 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | 0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.45 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.72 |
| league points | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 86.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.50 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.00 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | 1.15 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 28.49 | 28.03 |
| state index | -0.06 | 0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | 0.68 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |