← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Sep 2, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: B. Lepaysant
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Amiens win | 41% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Guingamp win | 30% | 3.37 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp −0.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Amiens −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Gaël Kakuta · Amiens |
| 13' | 🟨 | Baptiste Guillaume · Guingamp |
| 40' | ⚽ | Amine El Ouazzani · Guingamp |
| 42' | ⚽ | Antoine Leautey · Amiens |
| 52' | 🟨 | Dylan Louiserre · Guingamp |
| 62' | 🟨 | Kalidou Sidibe · Guingamp |
| 77' | ⚽ | Louis Mafouta · Amiens |
| 78' | 🟨 | Enzo Basilio · Guingamp |
| 81' | ⚽ | Gaël Kakuta · Amiens |
| 90' | ⚽ | Louis Mafouta · Amiens |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Amiens | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stade Crédit Agricole de la Licorne |
| coach days | 63.00 | 854.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.50 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1453.93 | 1517.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 36.10 | 30.34 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | 0.69 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.86 |
| league points | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.60 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 7.17 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 2.40 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.61 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.30 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 27.53 | 26.59 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.28 | -0.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |