← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Aug 26, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Benchabane
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 54% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 |
| Pau FC win | 20% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC −0.75 | 51% | 1.90 |
| Guingamp −0.75 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | ⚽ | Kalidou Sidibe · Guingamp |
| 35' | 🟨 | Kalidou Sidibe · Guingamp |
| 38' | ⚽ | Donatien Gomis · Guingamp |
| 39' | 🟨 | Bingourou Kamara · Pau FC |
| 42' | 🟨 | Donatien Gomis · Guingamp |
| 50' | ⚽ | Amadou Sagna · Guingamp |
| 82' | 🟨 | Abdallah Ndour · Guingamp |
| 89' | ⚽ | Maxime Sivis · Guingamp |
| 90' | 🟨 | Moussa Sylla · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 13 |
| 9 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Pau FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stade du Roudourou |
| coach days | 847.00 | 1151.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.23 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 1.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1504.82 | 1456.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.31 | 51.50 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 48.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.85 | 0.69 |
| league points | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.60 | 39.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | -6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.04 | -0.72 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.31 | 27.62 |
| state index | 0.44 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | -0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |