← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Aug 26, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Petit
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 52% | 1.84 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
| Ajaccio win | 20% | 4.94 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen −0.5 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Ajaccio −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | ⚽ (og) | Cedric Avinel · Caen |
| 45' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 53' | 🟨 | Cyrille Bayala · Ajaccio |
| 63' | ⚽ | Alexandre Mendy · Caen |
| 66' | 🟨 | Yacine Bammou · Ajaccio |
| 87' | 🟨 | Godson Kyeremeh · Caen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 5 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Ajaccio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.38 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stade Michel d'Ornano |
| coach days | 86.00 | 1151.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1551.49 | 1505.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.15 | 35.27 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | -0.90 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | 0.84 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 51.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.73 |
| league points | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.20 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.00 | 35.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.93 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.17 | -1.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 1.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 28.48 | 28.07 |
| state index | 0.68 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | -0.72 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |