← Ligue 2 2023 · Mon, Aug 21, 06:45 PM UTC · ref: G. Angoula
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux win | 38% | 2.50 |
| Ajaccio win | 31% | 3.22 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.19 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio +0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Bordeaux +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Clément Michelin · Bordeaux |
| 32' | 🟨 | Julien Benhaim · Ajaccio |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tim Jabol-Folcarelli · Ajaccio |
| 53' | 🟨 | Julien Benhaim · Ajaccio |
| 53' | 🟥 | Julien Benhaim · Ajaccio |
| 86' | 🟨 | Alexi Pitu · Bordeaux |
| 88' | 🟨 | Mickaël Alphonse · Ajaccio |
| 88' | 🟨 | Aliou Badji · Bordeaux |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 15 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Bordeaux |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stade François Coty |
| coach days | 1146.00 | 566.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.22 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1505.09 | 1570.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.78 | -38.33 |
| eye test v1 | -1.13 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.66 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.60 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 85.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 37.40 | 63.00 |
| rest days | 9.07 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.33 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.20 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.10 | 1.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 1.70 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 30.65 | 25.46 |
| state index | -0.06 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | 1.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |