← Ligue 2 2023 · Sat, Aug 19, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Landry
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Paris FC win | 32% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pau FC +0 | 53% | 1.82 |
| Paris FC +0 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 17' | 🟨 | Kouadio Ange Ahoussou · Pau FC |
| 37' | ⚽ | Steeve Beusnard · Pau FC |
| 41' | 🟨 | Mohamed Lamine Diaby · Paris FC |
| 59' | 🟨 | Louis Mouton · Pau FC |
| 63' | ⚽ | Khalid Boutaïb · Pau FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pau FC | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.57 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stade Nouste Camp |
| coach days | 1144.00 | 79.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1442.23 | 1485.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.26 | -16.62 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.11 | -0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 48.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | — |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 85.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.20 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 6.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | 0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 27.99 | 25.92 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | 1.44 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |